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Climate Disasters Boost Climate Ballot Measures in Democratic Areas

Wildfires can influence political behavior and public support for climate-related policies, especially among voters who perceive the threat. Using variation in wildfire exposure across California, this study finds that wildfires increased voter support for costly environmental ballot measures by 5-6 percentage points within 15 kilometers of impact, but only in Democratic-leaning areas where climate change beliefs are stronger.

📍 CONTEXT

This research leverages natural disasters to examine how salient short-term costs become when voters experience life-threatening climate hazards firsthand. It focuses on actual voting outcomes rather than survey responses alone.

American Political Science Review
Wildfire Exposure Increases Pro-Environment Voting Within Democratic but not Republican Areas was authored by Chad Hazlett and Matto Mildenberger. It was published in APSR in 2020. Find on Google Scholar10.1017/S0003055420000441
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