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Poll watchers boost own vote: Parties strategically deploy monitors to influence election outcomes

Parties in Mexico use poll watchers not just for oversight but as a tool for electoral advantage.

Election Data Analysis

  • Researchers analyzed data from Mexican Chamber of Deputies elections.
  • Found a strong positive correlation between party representative presence and their vote share.

Strategic Deployment

  • Parties strategically place representatives based on expected opponent activity.
  • Representatives are sent where opponents anticipate sending monitors themselves.

Implications

  • This suggests poll watchers primarily serve to protect incumbents from manipulation by the opposition.
  • Findings highlight that electoral monitoring can have partisan effects, blurring the line between observation and influence.
American Political Science Review
Partisan Poll Watchers and Electoral Manipulation was authored by Miguel Rueda Robayo and Sergio Ascencio. It was published in APSR in 2019. Find on Google Scholar10.1017/S0003055419000108
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