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Why Semi-Democracies Crumble: A New Look at Their Inherent Instability

Semi-democratic regimes are inherently unstable, according to a new study that tests three alternative explanations. The research finds that even when accounting for political instability during emergence and other regime characteristics, semi-demos remain significantly less durable than democracies or autocracies. This confirms "semi-democracies are particularly unstable" as a rare but significant finding in comparative politics. Other results show no systematic difference between military/single-party regimes and their more established counterparts in terms of longevity once democratic levels are controlled.

American Journal of Political Science
Institutional Characteristics and Regime Survival: Why Are Semi-Democracies Less Durable Than Autocracies and Democracies? was authored by Carl Henrik Knutsen and Haavard Mokleiv Nygaard. It was published in AJPS in 2015. Find on Google Scholar10.1111/ajps.12168
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