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Electoral Choice Increasingly Polarized, Decreasing Voter Participation: A Surprising New Look at Ideology

New estimates reveal a counterintuitive relationship between ideological conflict and voter turnout.

Data & Methods

  • Analyzed citizen preferences alongside candidate platform choices in U.S. House/Senate races
  • Used robust empirical specifications across diverse scenarios

Key Findings

  • Greater ideological differences decrease voter turnout, especially among less sophisticated citizens
  • Ideology/partisanship does not explain this relationship

This Means That:

These findings challenge established theories about political participation and demonstrate how electoral choices influence mass behavior in unexpected ways.

American Journal of Political Science
Electoral Choice, Ideological Conflict, and Political Participation was authored by Jon Rogowski. It was published in AJPS in 2014. Find on Google Scholar10.1111/ajps.12059
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