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Court Rulings Ignite Backlash Then Build Legitimacy

Legitimation TheoryThermostatic ModelSupreme Court ImpactBacklash EffectLong-Term AlignmentLaw Courts Justice@AJPS1 Stata file1 datasetDataverse
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How does the public respond to Supreme Court decisions? This study compares two theories: the thermostatic model (predicting mood shifts opposite rulings) and legitimation theory (predicting alignment with ideological content).

📊 Short-Term Effects

In the immediate aftermath, mass public moods consistently react negatively against judicial liberalism.

🔍 Methodology & Findings

Using cumulative judicial liberalism as a measure, we observe this initial backlash followed by long-term mood adjustment toward the Court's stance. This two-stage dynamic reveals how citizens respond to landmark decisions over time.

⚖️ Theoretical Contribution

Our findings underscore the dual role of the judiciary: simultaneously facing political pushback while ultimately influencing public opinion in the long run.

Article card for article: Backlash and Legitimation: Macro Political Responses to Supreme Court Decisions
Backlash and Legitimation: Macro Political Responses to Supreme Court Decisions was authored by Joseph Daniel Ura. It was published by Wiley in AJPS in 2014.
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American Journal of Political Science