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Wind Turbine Proximity Linked to Climate Policy Backlash: Retrospective Voting Study
Insights from the Field
retrospective voting
wind turbines
policy opposition
spatial effects
Political Behavior
AJPS
1 PDF files
5 text files
Dataverse
Electoral Backlash Against Climate Policy: A Natural Experiment on Retrospective Voting and Local Resistance to Public Policy was authored by Leah C. Stokes. It was published by Wiley in AJPS in 2016.

Climate policy enjoys broad national approval but faces concentrated local opposition. This study investigates spatial voting patterns near renewable energy projects.

Data & Methods

Using natural experiments and statistical techniques (fixed effects, instrumental variables), we analyze voter behavior in proximity to wind turbines.

Key Findings

• Citizens living within 3km of wind turbines experienced ~4-10% electoral losses for incumbents

• Retrospective voting accounted for these localized preferences despite overall support for climate policy

• Voters demonstrated knowledge about the specific government's role in implementation

Real-world Significance

These findings reveal how spatially distributed costs can distort democratic accountability mechanisms. The "spatial backlash" phenomenon could create political barriers to renewable energy deployment.

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American Journal of Political Science
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