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Radical Right Influence Pushes Mainstream Parties Leftward

This paper examines how radical right party success impacts mainstream parties' policy positions.

Using a regression discontinuity approach, we address whether these positional changes reflect causal effects beyond public opinion.

Key Finding: The study demonstrates that radical right electoral success does influence mainstream parties' policies.

  • Methodology: Leveraging exogenous variation from differing electoral thresholds allows for causal attribution of mainstream policy shifts to the presence and strength of radical right competitors, not just reflecting voter preferences.
  • Scope: This effect is observed across different types of mainstream parties – both left-leaning and right-leaning ones appear to adjust their positions in response.

This work contributes significantly by highlighting that political competition involves active adjustments from multiple party actors.

British Journal of Political Science
The Causal Effect of Radical Right Success on Mainstream Parties' Policy Positions. A Regression Discontinuity Approach was authored by Tarik Abou-Chadi and Werner Krause. It was published in BJPS in 2020. Find on Google Scholar10.1017/S0007123418000029
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