This study investigates how state capacity supports autocrats during elections by focusing on territorial control through the state apparatus.
State's Role in Elections
The author argues that one specific aspect of state capacity—control over territory—helps autocrats ensure large majority electoral victories. High-capacity rulers can rely on local agents and institutions to subtly manipulate elections, for instance by controlling media or inhibiting work of domestic election monitors throughout the territory while avoiding costly manipulation such as election violence.
Study Findings
Analysis of authoritarian multiparty elections from 1946-2017 shows state territorial control increases likelihood of large victories. Furthermore, high levels of state control correlate with subtle strategies like media bias and restrictions on monitors—also positively linked to majorities.
At the same time, strong territorial control is tied to reduced election violence.
Policy Implications
These findings suggest states should focus on monitoring subtle manipulation tactics rather than just overt electoral interference.
