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Does Mainstream Left Accommodation Attract Anti-immigration Voters?

Right-wing populist parties often gain support by attracting voters from mainstream left groups. This has sparked debate about whether a 'accommodation strategy'—adopting more restrictive immigration views in line with the political mainstream—can help regain power for left-leaning governments.

Our study uses survey experiments among Danish citizens during a time when the stance of a major left party was unclear. We found that explicitly signaling an accommodation approach actually works differently than expected based on spatial politics models:

  • Attracts voters leaning against immigration
  • Repels voters supporting open borders

These effects matter significantly to parties: repelled anti-immigration supporters defect to other left-leaning parties, while attracted right-leaning voters join them. This explains why shifting toward more restrictive positions can increase overall electoral support for the mainstream left.

This research clarifies a key political dynamic in Denmark and demonstrates how strategic position-taking affects voter behavior.

British Journal of Political Science
When Does Accommodation Work? Electoral Effects of Mainstream Left Position-taking on Immigration was authored by Frederik Hjorth and Martin Vinæs Larsen. It was published in BJPS in 2022. Find on Google Scholar10.1017/S0007123420000563
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