Local Economic Shocks Shifted Hungarian Election Results

administrative data Voting and Elections @Pol. Behav.6 Stata files 1 dataset Dataverse

This paper explores how unexpected economic downturns at the local level influenced voter behavior during Hungary's national elections.

Data & Methods

Researchers analyzed administrative data from across Hungary, mapping localized economic shocks to election outcomes. The study employed a mixed-methods approach combining quantitative analysis with qualitative insights.

Key Findings

Local economic shocks significantly affected voting patterns
Voters responded differently based on the type and severity of shock
Geographic variation in economic impact shaped electoral results unexpectedly

Why It Matters

The findings demonstrate that local economic conditions can have substantial influence beyond their immediate geographic scope. This challenges assumptions about how voters primarily respond to partisan messaging.

Article card for article: Local Economic Shocks and National Election Outcomes: Evidence from Hungarian Administrative Data

Local Economic Shocks and National Election Outcomes: Evidence from Hungarian Administrative Data was authored by Gabor Simonovits, Sean Kates and Blanka Szeitl. It was published by Springer in Pol. Behav. in 2019.