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(will be reviewed).

Understanding Clause Cut Black Voter Registration by 30 Percentage Points

Study Significance

The paper uses unique Louisiana records to document how state restrictions affected Black voter registration from the end of Reconstruction to the present, clarifying the historical effectiveness of disenfranchisement tactics and highlighting relevance to modern, discretionary eligibility rules such as voter ID laws.

Data and Measurement

The authors assembled parish-level time series on voter registration, including separate registration rates for Black and white residents, percent Black, and schooling measures; the replication archive lists a full time-series dataset for Figure 1 and parish-level datasets for the 1940–1960 periods used in analyses.

Comparison Design

To assess the Understanding Clause, the authors compared parish-level registration rates in parishes that used the Understanding Clause to those that did not, using datasets formatted for difference-in-differences comparisons (1950 versus 1960) and conducting parallel-trends checks with 1940–1950 data.

Main Findings on the Understanding Clause

Parishes that used the Understanding Clause experienced a drop in Black registration rates of nearly 30 percentage points, while white registration rates showed little change.

Interpretation and Contemporary Implications

The authors interpret the results as evidence that ostensibly neutral, locally administered eligibility requirements can be enforced in discriminatory ways, and they draw implications for modern policies like voter ID laws that similarly grant discretion to local officials.

American Political Science Review
Suppressing Black Votes: A Historical Case Study of Voting was authored by Luke Keele, William Cubbison and Ismail White. It was published in APSR in 2021. Find on Google Scholar10.1017/S0003055421000034
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